FPL Player Value

What can we as FPL managers reasonably expect in terms of points from players based on their cost?

It's important to look at the upgrade cost rather than the total cost, e.g. a 12.5 forward costs 8.0 above the minimum of 4.5.

For the maximum investment we'd expect the maximum return, over 200 points across the season, maybe 220. When there is no upgrade, e.g. a 4.0 defensive player or 4.5 attacking player, we'd expect some minutes but not necessarily starting every game, maybe 50 points over the season.

Assuming it's a linear scale, that gives us something like this in terms of expected points for the season and per gameweek. I've assumed a player will play 34 gameweeks in a season, missing 4 through injury or rotation while in our squads.

Upgrade   Example    xPts/sn   xPts/gw

8.0       12.5 MID     220       6.5
7.5       12.0 FWD     209       6.1
7.0       11.5 FWD     199       5.9
6.5       11.0 MID     188       5.5
6.0       10.5 FWD     178       5.2
5.5       10.0 MID     167       4.9
5.0        9.5 MID     156       4.6
4.5        9.0 FWD     146       4.3
4.0        8.5 MID     135       4.0
3.5        7.5 DEF     124       3.6
3.0        7.5 FWD     114       3.4
2.5        7.0 MID     103       3.0
2.0        6.0 DEF      93       2.7
1.5        5.5 DEF      82       2.4
1.0        5.5 MID      71       2.1
0.5        4.5 DEF      61       1.8
0.0        4.0 DEF      50       1.5

I know this is not very scientific, it is just a rough guideline to set some kind of expectation. Feel free to adjust this scale to suit what you believe are the high and low points. Players will always over- or under-perform against this anyway.

But that's without considering captaincy.